Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data2026-02-25

On 2026-02-25, 280 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 149 rounds (53.2%), Down in 131. The average round saw the Up share move across a 63¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.21 times per round on average.

280
Rounds recorded
53.2%
Up win rate
149 up / 131 down
63¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
99¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing

Up win rate by hour (UTC)

Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.

00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00

Most volatile round of the day

btc-updown-5m-1772061900.csv swung 99¢, flipped leader 3 times and resolved DOWN. Ten sampled ticks:

timestamptime (UTC)up_pricedown_priceremaining_min
177206190223:25:010.510.504.97
177206193323:25:320.560.454.46
177206196223:26:010.650.363.97
177206199223:26:310.580.443.47
177206202123:27:000.670.372.98
177206205023:27:300.460.552.50
177206208023:27:590.730.272.01
177206210923:28:280.820.181.52
177206213723:28:570.940.071.04
177206216723:29:270.900.110.54
2026-02-24All days2026-02-26
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