Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-03-02
On 2026-03-02, 261 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 131 rounds (50.2%), Down in 130. The average round saw the Up share move across a 65¢ range, with the lead changing hands 5.34 times per round on average.
261
Rounds recorded
50.2%
Up win rate
131 up / 130 down
65¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
98¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1772439000.csv swung 98¢, flipped leader 2 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1772439002 | 08:10:02 | 0.52 | 0.49 | 4.96 |
| 1772439032 | 08:10:31 | 0.24 | 0.77 | 4.47 |
| 1772439060 | 08:11:00 | 0.40 | 0.60 | 3.99 |
| 1772439089 | 08:11:29 | 0.29 | 0.72 | 3.51 |
| 1772439118 | 08:11:58 | 0.24 | 0.78 | 3.03 |
| 1772439148 | 08:12:27 | 0.05 | 0.98 | 2.54 |
| 1772439177 | 08:12:56 | 0.06 | 0.95 | 2.05 |
| 1772439207 | 08:13:26 | 0.11 | 0.90 | 1.56 |
| 1772439236 | 08:13:56 | 0.26 | 0.75 | 1.07 |
| 1772439265 | 08:14:24 | 0.98 | 0.03 | 0.59 |
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