Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-03-04
On 2026-03-04, 276 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 153 rounds (55.4%), Down in 123. The average round saw the Up share move across a 65¢ range, with the lead changing hands 6.46 times per round on average.
276
Rounds recorded
55.4%
Up win rate
153 up / 123 down
65¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
96¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1772627100.csv swung 96¢, flipped leader 11 times and resolved DOWN. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1772627101 | 12:25:00 | 0.53 | 0.48 | 4.99 |
| 1772627131 | 12:25:31 | 0.45 | 0.56 | 4.48 |
| 1772627161 | 12:26:00 | 0.45 | 0.56 | 3.99 |
| 1772627190 | 12:26:30 | 0.51 | 0.50 | 3.49 |
| 1772627219 | 12:26:59 | 0.61 | 0.40 | 3.01 |
| 1772627248 | 12:27:27 | 0.89 | 0.11 | 2.53 |
| 1772627276 | 12:27:56 | 0.91 | 0.10 | 2.06 |
| 1772627305 | 12:28:24 | 0.91 | 0.10 | 1.58 |
| 1772627334 | 12:28:53 | 0.93 | 0.10 | 1.11 |
| 1772627362 | 12:29:22 | 0.59 | 0.42 | 0.63 |
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