Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-03-15
On 2026-03-15, 287 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 143 rounds (49.8%), Down in 144. The average round saw the Up share move across a 63¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.53 times per round on average.
287
Rounds recorded
49.8%
Up win rate
143 up / 144 down
63¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
97¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1773567000.csv swung 97¢, flipped leader 3 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1773567002 | 09:30:01 | 0.46 | 0.55 | 4.97 |
| 1773567034 | 09:30:33 | 0.44 | 0.57 | 4.44 |
| 1773567063 | 09:31:03 | 0.22 | 0.81 | 3.94 |
| 1773567093 | 09:31:32 | 0.26 | 0.75 | 3.46 |
| 1773567122 | 09:32:01 | 0.37 | 0.64 | 2.97 |
| 1773567151 | 09:32:31 | 0.37 | 0.64 | 2.48 |
| 1773567180 | 09:32:59 | 0.39 | 0.63 | 2.00 |
| 1773567209 | 09:33:28 | 0.66 | 0.35 | 1.52 |
| 1773567238 | 09:33:57 | 0.48 | 0.53 | 1.04 |
| 1773567267 | 09:34:27 | 0.14 | 0.89 | 0.55 |
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