Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-03-20
On 2026-03-20, 278 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 151 rounds (54.3%), Down in 127. The average round saw the Up share move across a 59¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.66 times per round on average.
278
Rounds recorded
54.3%
Up win rate
151 up / 127 down
59¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
98¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1774017300.csv swung 98¢, flipped leader 7 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1774017301 | 14:35:01 | 0.47 | 0.51 | 4.98 |
| 1774017332 | 14:35:31 | 0.60 | 0.41 | 4.47 |
| 1774017360 | 14:36:00 | 0.64 | 0.38 | 3.99 |
| 1774017390 | 14:36:29 | 0.63 | 0.38 | 3.50 |
| 1774017419 | 14:36:58 | 0.29 | 0.75 | 3.02 |
| 1774017448 | 14:37:27 | 0.21 | 0.79 | 2.54 |
| 1774017477 | 14:37:57 | 0.19 | 0.82 | 2.05 |
| 1774017506 | 14:38:25 | 0.07 | 0.94 | 1.57 |
| 1774017534 | 14:38:54 | 0.09 | 0.91 | 1.10 |
| 1774017565 | 14:39:24 | 0.86 | 0.15 | 0.59 |
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