Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data2026-04-21

On 2026-04-21, 284 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 150 rounds (52.8%), Down in 134. The average round saw the Up share move across a 65¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.46 times per round on average.

284
Rounds recorded
52.8%
Up win rate
150 up / 134 down
65¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
99¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing

Up win rate by hour (UTC)

Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.

00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00

Most volatile round of the day

btc-updown-5m-1776781500.csv swung 99¢, flipped leader 11 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:

timestamptime (UTC)up_pricedown_priceremaining_min
177678150114:25:010.480.534.98
177678153214:25:310.620.394.47
177678156114:26:010.600.413.98
177678159014:26:300.590.423.49
177678161914:26:580.700.313.02
177678164714:27:270.860.162.54
177678167614:27:550.800.212.07
177678170414:28:240.620.381.59
177678173314:28:520.620.411.12
177678176114:29:210.250.760.65
2026-04-20All days2026-04-22
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