Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-05-04
On 2026-05-04, 286 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 138 rounds (48.3%), Down in 148. The average round saw the Up share move across a 69¢ range, with the lead changing hands 5.66 times per round on average.
286
Rounds recorded
48.3%
Up win rate
138 up / 148 down
69¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
99¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1777857600.csv swung 99¢, flipped leader 5 times and resolved DOWN. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1777857602 | 01:20:02 | 0.52 | 0.49 | 4.96 |
| 1777857634 | 01:20:34 | 0.57 | 0.45 | 4.43 |
| 1777857663 | 01:21:03 | 0.30 | 0.70 | 3.94 |
| 1777857692 | 01:21:31 | 0.47 | 0.54 | 3.47 |
| 1777857720 | 01:21:59 | 0.47 | 0.54 | 3.01 |
| 1777857748 | 01:22:27 | 0.69 | 0.32 | 2.54 |
| 1777857776 | 01:22:55 | 0.56 | 0.45 | 2.07 |
| 1777857804 | 01:23:23 | 0.44 | 0.56 | 1.60 |
| 1777857832 | 01:23:52 | 0.34 | 0.67 | 1.13 |
| 1777857860 | 01:24:20 | 0.15 | 0.86 | 0.66 |
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