Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-05-12
On 2026-05-12, 283 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 129 rounds (45.6%), Down in 154. The average round saw the Up share move across a 64¢ range, with the lead changing hands 3.72 times per round on average.
283
Rounds recorded
45.6%
Up win rate
129 up / 154 down
64¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
99¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1778548800.csv swung 99¢, flipped leader 4 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1778548801 | 01:20:01 | 0.53 | 0.48 | 4.98 |
| 1778548834 | 01:20:33 | 0.53 | 0.48 | 4.44 |
| 1778548864 | 01:21:03 | 0.35 | 0.67 | 3.94 |
| 1778548893 | 01:21:32 | 0.09 | 0.93 | 3.45 |
| 1778548922 | 01:22:02 | 0.12 | 0.89 | 2.96 |
| 1778548952 | 01:22:31 | 0.05 | 0.96 | 2.47 |
| 1778548981 | 01:23:00 | 0.02 | 0.99 | 1.98 |
| 1778549010 | 01:23:30 | 0.01 | 1.00 | 1.49 |
| 1778549040 | 01:23:59 | 0.02 | 0.99 | 1.00 |
| 1778549069 | 01:24:29 | 0.40 | 0.60 | 0.51 |
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