Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-05-21
On 2026-05-21, 280 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 151 rounds (53.9%), Down in 129. The average round saw the Up share move across a 64¢ range, with the lead changing hands 3.67 times per round on average.
280
Rounds recorded
53.9%
Up win rate
151 up / 129 down
64¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
96¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1779351000.csv swung 96¢, flipped leader 3 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1779351001 | 08:10:00 | 0.40 | 0.61 | 4.99 |
| 1779351034 | 08:10:33 | 0.34 | 0.68 | 4.43 |
| 1779351064 | 08:11:03 | 0.22 | 0.79 | 3.94 |
| 1779351093 | 08:11:33 | 0.27 | 0.73 | 3.44 |
| 1779351123 | 08:12:02 | 0.22 | 0.80 | 2.95 |
| 1779351152 | 08:12:32 | 0.32 | 0.69 | 2.46 |
| 1779351182 | 08:13:01 | 0.28 | 0.73 | 1.97 |
| 1779351211 | 08:13:31 | 0.24 | 0.81 | 1.48 |
| 1779351241 | 08:14:01 | 0.10 | 0.91 | 0.98 |
| 1779351271 | 08:14:30 | 0.65 | 0.35 | 0.48 |
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