Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-06-26
On 2026-06-26, 58 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 31 rounds (53.4%), Down in 27. The average round saw the Up share move across a 70¢ range, with the lead changing hands 8.86 times per round on average.
58
Rounds recorded
53.4%
Up win rate
31 up / 27 down
70¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
97¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1782441000.csv swung 97¢, flipped leader 5 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1782441002 | 02:30:02 | 0.51 | 0.55 | 4.97 |
| 1782441035 | 02:30:34 | 0.76 | 0.25 | 4.42 |
| 1782441064 | 02:31:04 | 0.70 | 0.31 | 3.93 |
| 1782441094 | 02:31:33 | 0.51 | 0.50 | 3.44 |
| 1782441123 | 02:32:03 | 0.67 | 0.34 | 2.94 |
| 1782441153 | 02:32:32 | 0.21 | 0.80 | 2.45 |
| 1782441182 | 02:33:02 | 0.11 | 0.90 | 1.96 |
| 1782441212 | 02:33:32 | 0.03 | 0.98 | 1.47 |
| 1782441241 | 02:34:01 | 0.28 | 0.73 | 0.98 |
| 1782441270 | 02:34:30 | 0.12 | 0.89 | 0.50 |
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