Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-07-19
On 2026-07-19, 287 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 133 rounds (46.3%), Down in 154. The average round saw the Up share move across a 64¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.41 times per round on average.
287
Rounds recorded
46.3%
Up win rate
133 up / 154 down
64¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
98¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1784429100.csv swung 98¢, flipped leader 4 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1784429102 | 02:45:01 | 0.52 | 0.49 | 4.97 |
| 1784429132 | 02:45:31 | 0.44 | 0.57 | 4.47 |
| 1784429161 | 02:46:00 | 0.58 | 0.43 | 3.98 |
| 1784429190 | 02:46:29 | 0.50 | 0.51 | 3.50 |
| 1784429219 | 02:46:58 | 0.38 | 0.63 | 3.02 |
| 1784429248 | 02:47:28 | 0.25 | 0.76 | 2.53 |
| 1784429278 | 02:47:57 | 0.21 | 0.81 | 2.04 |
| 1784429307 | 02:48:27 | 0.16 | 0.85 | 1.55 |
| 1784429337 | 02:48:56 | 0.20 | 0.81 | 1.05 |
| 1784429367 | 02:49:27 | 0.06 | 0.95 | 0.55 |
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