Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-07-21
On 2026-07-21, 282 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 152 rounds (53.9%), Down in 130. The average round saw the Up share move across a 65¢ range, with the lead changing hands 6.08 times per round on average.
282
Rounds recorded
53.9%
Up win rate
152 up / 130 down
65¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
98¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1784597400.csv swung 98¢, flipped leader 9 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1784597402 | 01:30:01 | 0.48 | 0.53 | 4.97 |
| 1784597433 | 01:30:33 | 0.57 | 0.44 | 4.44 |
| 1784597463 | 01:31:02 | 0.18 | 0.83 | 3.96 |
| 1784597492 | 01:31:31 | 0.11 | 0.90 | 3.47 |
| 1784597521 | 01:32:00 | 0.10 | 0.91 | 2.98 |
| 1784597550 | 01:32:30 | 0.10 | 0.91 | 2.50 |
| 1784597579 | 01:32:59 | 0.21 | 0.80 | 2.01 |
| 1784597609 | 01:33:28 | 0.29 | 0.73 | 1.52 |
| 1784597638 | 01:33:57 | 0.32 | 0.70 | 1.04 |
| 1784597668 | 01:34:27 | 0.09 | 0.92 | 0.53 |
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