Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-08-19
On 2026-08-19, 286 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 160 rounds (55.9%), Down in 126. The average round saw the Up share move across a 56¢ range, with the lead changing hands 3.81 times per round on average.
286
Rounds recorded
55.9%
Up win rate
160 up / 126 down
56¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
99¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1787160600.csv swung 99¢, flipped leader 6 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1787160601 | 17:30:00 | 0.76 | 0.25 | 4.99 |
| 1787160632 | 17:30:32 | 0.67 | 0.34 | 4.46 |
| 1787160662 | 17:31:02 | 0.46 | 0.57 | 3.96 |
| 1787160692 | 17:31:32 | 0.22 | 0.79 | 3.46 |
| 1787160722 | 17:32:01 | 0.14 | 0.87 | 2.97 |
| 1787160751 | 17:32:31 | 0.08 | 0.93 | 2.48 |
| 1787160781 | 17:33:00 | 0.02 | 0.99 | 1.98 |
| 1787160811 | 17:33:30 | 0.19 | 0.82 | 1.49 |
| 1787160841 | 17:34:00 | 0.72 | 0.28 | 0.99 |
| 1787160870 | 17:34:30 | 1.00 | 0.01 | 0.50 |
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