Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-09-03
On 2026-09-03, 282 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 152 rounds (53.9%), Down in 130. The average round saw the Up share move across a 56¢ range, with the lead changing hands 3.84 times per round on average.
282
Rounds recorded
53.9%
Up win rate
152 up / 130 down
56¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
99¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1788469500.csv swung 99¢, flipped leader 8 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1788469502 | 21:05:01 | 0.56 | 0.45 | 4.97 |
| 1788469531 | 21:05:31 | 0.72 | 0.29 | 4.48 |
| 1788469560 | 21:05:59 | 0.59 | 0.42 | 4.01 |
| 1788469589 | 21:06:28 | 0.31 | 0.70 | 3.52 |
| 1788469617 | 21:06:57 | 0.26 | 0.75 | 3.05 |
| 1788469646 | 21:07:25 | 0.67 | 0.34 | 2.57 |
| 1788469675 | 21:07:54 | 0.42 | 0.59 | 2.09 |
| 1788469704 | 21:08:23 | 0.35 | 0.65 | 1.60 |
| 1788469732 | 21:08:51 | 0.02 | 0.99 | 1.14 |
| 1788469762 | 21:09:22 | 0.23 | 0.78 | 0.63 |
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