Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-09-21
On 2026-09-21, 286 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 159 rounds (55.6%), Down in 127. The average round saw the Up share move across a 64¢ range, with the lead changing hands 5.13 times per round on average.
286
Rounds recorded
55.6%
Up win rate
159 up / 127 down
64¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
99¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1789991100.csv swung 99¢, flipped leader 1 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1789991101 | 11:45:00 | 0.41 | 0.60 | 4.99 |
| 1789991131 | 11:45:31 | 0.29 | 0.72 | 4.48 |
| 1789991161 | 11:46:00 | 0.21 | 0.80 | 3.99 |
| 1789991190 | 11:46:29 | 0.18 | 0.83 | 3.51 |
| 1789991218 | 11:46:58 | 0.35 | 0.66 | 3.03 |
| 1789991248 | 11:47:27 | 0.16 | 0.86 | 2.54 |
| 1789991276 | 11:47:56 | 0.20 | 0.81 | 2.06 |
| 1789991305 | 11:48:25 | 0.06 | 0.95 | 1.58 |
| 1789991334 | 11:48:54 | 0.01 | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| 1789991364 | 11:49:23 | 0.73 | 0.28 | 0.61 |
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