Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-10-06

On 2026-10-06, 285 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 137 rounds (48.1%), Down in 148. The average round saw the Up share move across a 65¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.07 times per round on average.

285
Rounds recorded
48.1%
Up win rate
137 up / 148 down
65¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
100¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing

Up win rate by hour (UTC)

Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.

00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00

Most volatile round of the day

btc-updown-5m-1791328200.csv swung 100¢, flipped leader 1 times and resolved DOWN. Ten sampled ticks:

timestamptime (UTC)up_pricedown_priceremaining_min
179132820223:10:020.520.494.96
179132823423:10:340.820.194.43
179132826423:11:030.880.133.93
179132829323:11:320.870.143.46
179132832223:12:010.910.102.97
179132835123:12:300.920.092.49
179132838023:13:000.960.052.00
179132841023:13:290.990.021.50
179132843823:13:581.000.011.03
179132846723:14:260.021.000.55
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