Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-10-08
On 2026-10-08, 284 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 135 rounds (47.5%), Down in 149. The average round saw the Up share move across a 64¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.15 times per round on average.
284
Rounds recorded
47.5%
Up win rate
135 up / 149 down
64¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
98¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1791429600.csv swung 98¢, flipped leader 11 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1791429601 | 03:20:00 | 0.29 | 0.73 | 4.99 |
| 1791429634 | 03:20:33 | 0.48 | 0.53 | 4.44 |
| 1791429663 | 03:21:02 | 0.46 | 0.56 | 3.95 |
| 1791429692 | 03:21:32 | 0.02 | 0.99 | 3.46 |
| 1791429721 | 03:22:01 | 0.15 | 0.86 | 2.98 |
| 1791429751 | 03:22:31 | 0.24 | 0.76 | 2.48 |
| 1791429780 | 03:22:59 | 0.42 | 0.59 | 2.01 |
| 1791429809 | 03:23:28 | 0.49 | 0.52 | 1.52 |
| 1791429838 | 03:23:57 | 0.99 | 0.02 | 1.04 |
| 1791429867 | 03:24:26 | 1.00 | 0.01 | 0.55 |
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