Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-10-25

On 2026-10-25, 287 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 132 rounds (46.0%), Down in 155. The average round saw the Up share move across a 62¢ range, with the lead changing hands 3 times per round on average.

287
Rounds recorded
46.0%
Up win rate
132 up / 155 down
62¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
98¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing

Up win rate by hour (UTC)

Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.

00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00

Most volatile round of the day

btc-updown-5m-1792897800.csv swung 98¢, flipped leader 3 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:

timestamptime (UTC)up_pricedown_priceremaining_min
179289780203:10:010.490.514.97
179289783303:10:320.440.574.45
179289786203:11:020.230.783.96
179289789103:11:310.280.733.48
179289792003:12:000.340.672.99
179289795003:12:290.370.642.51
179289797903:12:580.150.862.02
179289800803:13:280.170.841.53
179289803703:13:570.020.991.04
179289806703:14:260.940.070.56
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