Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-11-02
On 2026-11-02, 132 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 55 rounds (41.7%), Down in 77. The average round saw the Up share move across a 65¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.29 times per round on average.
132
Rounds recorded
41.7%
Up win rate
55 up / 77 down
65¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
99¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1793612100.csv swung 99¢, flipped leader 10 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1793612102 | 09:35:01 | 0.62 | 0.39 | 4.97 |
| 1793612132 | 09:35:32 | 0.21 | 0.80 | 4.46 |
| 1793612161 | 09:36:01 | 0.12 | 0.89 | 3.98 |
| 1793612190 | 09:36:30 | 0.06 | 0.95 | 3.49 |
| 1793612219 | 09:36:59 | 0.05 | 0.96 | 3.01 |
| 1793612249 | 09:37:28 | 0.01 | 1.00 | 2.52 |
| 1793612278 | 09:37:57 | 0.09 | 0.92 | 2.04 |
| 1793612307 | 09:38:27 | 0.06 | 0.95 | 1.55 |
| 1793612337 | 09:38:56 | 0.49 | 0.52 | 1.06 |
| 1793612369 | 09:39:28 | 0.81 | 0.20 | 0.52 |
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