Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-02-15
On 2026-02-15, 287 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 154 rounds (53.7%), Down in 133. The average round saw the Up share move across a 61¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.74 times per round on average.
287
Rounds recorded
53.7%
Up win rate
154 up / 133 down
61¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
96¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1771157400.csv swung 96¢, flipped leader 6 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1771157401 | 12:10:01 | 0.55 | 0.47 | 4.98 |
| 1771157430 | 12:10:29 | 0.65 | 0.36 | 4.51 |
| 1771157458 | 12:10:58 | 0.54 | 0.47 | 4.03 |
| 1771157486 | 12:11:26 | 0.57 | 0.44 | 3.56 |
| 1771157515 | 12:11:55 | 0.45 | 0.57 | 3.08 |
| 1771157544 | 12:12:23 | 0.33 | 0.69 | 2.60 |
| 1771157573 | 12:12:52 | 0.20 | 0.81 | 2.12 |
| 1771157601 | 12:13:20 | 0.22 | 0.80 | 1.65 |
| 1771157630 | 12:13:49 | 0.07 | 0.94 | 1.17 |
| 1771157658 | 12:14:18 | 0.10 | 0.92 | 0.69 |
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