Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-02-16
On 2026-02-16, 280 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 153 rounds (54.6%), Down in 127. The average round saw the Up share move across a 63¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.76 times per round on average.
280
Rounds recorded
54.6%
Up win rate
153 up / 127 down
63¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
97¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1771245300.csv swung 97¢, flipped leader 3 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1771245301 | 12:35:01 | 0.50 | 0.51 | 4.98 |
| 1771245330 | 12:35:30 | 0.39 | 0.62 | 4.50 |
| 1771245359 | 12:35:58 | 0.26 | 0.74 | 4.02 |
| 1771245387 | 12:36:27 | 0.24 | 0.81 | 3.54 |
| 1771245416 | 12:36:56 | 0.15 | 0.86 | 3.06 |
| 1771245446 | 12:37:25 | 0.10 | 0.90 | 2.57 |
| 1771245474 | 12:37:54 | 0.22 | 0.80 | 2.10 |
| 1771245503 | 12:38:23 | 0.29 | 0.72 | 1.61 |
| 1771245532 | 12:38:52 | 0.23 | 0.78 | 1.13 |
| 1771245561 | 12:39:21 | 0.05 | 0.96 | 0.65 |
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