Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-05-15
On 2026-05-15, 283 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 143 rounds (50.5%), Down in 140. The average round saw the Up share move across a 65¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.35 times per round on average.
283
Rounds recorded
50.5%
Up win rate
143 up / 140 down
65¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
98¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1778807700.csv swung 98¢, flipped leader 15 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1778807701 | 01:15:00 | 0.50 | 0.54 | 4.98 |
| 1778807732 | 01:15:32 | 0.32 | 0.69 | 4.46 |
| 1778807762 | 01:16:01 | 0.78 | 0.27 | 3.97 |
| 1778807791 | 01:16:31 | 0.81 | 0.20 | 3.48 |
| 1778807820 | 01:17:00 | 0.85 | 0.16 | 3.00 |
| 1778807850 | 01:17:29 | 0.51 | 0.50 | 2.51 |
| 1778807879 | 01:17:58 | 0.53 | 0.48 | 2.02 |
| 1778807908 | 01:18:28 | 0.65 | 0.36 | 1.53 |
| 1778807937 | 01:18:57 | 0.52 | 0.49 | 1.04 |
| 1778807967 | 01:19:27 | 0.37 | 0.64 | 0.55 |
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