Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-05-16
On 2026-05-16, 285 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 136 rounds (47.7%), Down in 149. The average round saw the Up share move across a 63¢ range, with the lead changing hands 3.51 times per round on average.
285
Rounds recorded
47.7%
Up win rate
136 up / 149 down
63¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
97¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1778910900.csv swung 97¢, flipped leader 3 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1778910901 | 05:55:00 | 0.43 | 0.58 | 4.98 |
| 1778910932 | 05:55:31 | 0.40 | 0.61 | 4.47 |
| 1778910961 | 05:56:01 | 0.36 | 0.65 | 3.98 |
| 1778910990 | 05:56:30 | 0.29 | 0.72 | 3.50 |
| 1778911019 | 05:56:59 | 0.33 | 0.68 | 3.01 |
| 1778911049 | 05:57:28 | 0.28 | 0.73 | 2.52 |
| 1778911078 | 05:57:58 | 0.21 | 0.80 | 2.03 |
| 1778911107 | 05:58:27 | 0.08 | 0.93 | 1.54 |
| 1778911137 | 05:58:56 | 0.04 | 0.97 | 1.06 |
| 1778911166 | 05:59:25 | 0.36 | 0.66 | 0.57 |
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