Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-07-02
On 2026-07-02, 34 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 20 rounds (58.8%), Down in 14. The average round saw the Up share move across a 67¢ range, with the lead changing hands 6 times per round on average.
34
Rounds recorded
58.8%
Up win rate
20 up / 14 down
67¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
94¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1782951000.csv swung 94¢, flipped leader 15 times and resolved DOWN. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1782951001 | 00:10:00 | 0.51 | 0.50 | 4.99 |
| 1782951035 | 00:10:34 | 0.42 | 0.59 | 4.42 |
| 1782951064 | 00:11:04 | 0.46 | 0.55 | 3.93 |
| 1782951094 | 00:11:33 | 0.58 | 0.43 | 3.44 |
| 1782951123 | 00:12:02 | 0.46 | 0.55 | 2.95 |
| 1782951152 | 00:12:32 | 0.48 | 0.53 | 2.46 |
| 1782951181 | 00:13:01 | 0.73 | 0.28 | 1.98 |
| 1782951211 | 00:13:30 | 0.75 | 0.27 | 1.49 |
| 1782951239 | 00:13:59 | 0.84 | 0.17 | 1.01 |
| 1782951268 | 00:14:28 | 0.65 | 0.36 | 0.53 |
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