Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-07-02
On 2026-07-02, 285 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 150 rounds (52.6%), Down in 135. The average round saw the Up share move across a 63¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.58 times per round on average.
285
Rounds recorded
52.6%
Up win rate
150 up / 135 down
63¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
98¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1782960300.csv swung 98¢, flipped leader 4 times and resolved DOWN. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1782960301 | 02:45:01 | 0.46 | 0.55 | 4.98 |
| 1782960333 | 02:45:33 | 0.49 | 0.52 | 4.45 |
| 1782960363 | 02:46:03 | 0.65 | 0.36 | 3.95 |
| 1782960392 | 02:46:32 | 0.65 | 0.36 | 3.46 |
| 1782960421 | 02:47:01 | 0.73 | 0.28 | 2.98 |
| 1782960450 | 02:47:30 | 0.87 | 0.14 | 2.50 |
| 1782960479 | 02:47:58 | 0.96 | 0.05 | 2.02 |
| 1782960508 | 02:48:27 | 0.98 | 0.03 | 1.53 |
| 1782960537 | 02:48:56 | 0.80 | 0.21 | 1.05 |
| 1782960566 | 02:49:26 | 0.19 | 0.82 | 0.56 |
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