Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-07-03
On 2026-07-03, 286 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 146 rounds (51.0%), Down in 140. The average round saw the Up share move across a 65¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.6 times per round on average.
286
Rounds recorded
51.0%
Up win rate
146 up / 140 down
65¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
99¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1783110000.csv swung 99¢, flipped leader 9 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1783110001 | 20:20:00 | 0.39 | 0.62 | 4.99 |
| 1783110033 | 20:20:32 | 0.40 | 0.61 | 4.46 |
| 1783110062 | 20:21:01 | 0.58 | 0.43 | 3.97 |
| 1783110091 | 20:21:30 | 0.40 | 0.61 | 3.48 |
| 1783110120 | 20:22:00 | 0.36 | 0.66 | 3.00 |
| 1783110149 | 20:22:29 | 0.51 | 0.50 | 2.51 |
| 1783110179 | 20:22:58 | 0.57 | 0.44 | 2.02 |
| 1783110208 | 20:23:27 | 0.40 | 0.61 | 1.54 |
| 1783110237 | 20:23:56 | 0.08 | 0.93 | 1.06 |
| 1783110266 | 20:24:26 | 0.04 | 1.00 | 0.56 |
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