Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data2026-07-04

On 2026-07-04, 287 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 149 rounds (51.9%), Down in 138. The average round saw the Up share move across a 65¢ range, with the lead changing hands 5.3 times per round on average.

287
Rounds recorded
51.9%
Up win rate
149 up / 138 down
65¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
98¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing

Up win rate by hour (UTC)

Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.

00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00

Most volatile round of the day

btc-updown-5m-1783140900.csv swung 98¢, flipped leader 6 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:

timestamptime (UTC)up_pricedown_priceremaining_min
178314090104:55:000.520.494.98
178314093404:55:330.400.614.44
178314096304:56:030.380.633.95
178314099204:56:320.200.813.46
178314102104:57:010.200.812.98
178314105104:57:300.070.942.49
178314107904:57:590.180.832.01
178314110904:58:280.320.691.52
178314113804:58:570.220.791.04
178314116704:59:270.160.860.54
2026-07-03All days2026-07-05
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