Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-07-06
On 2026-07-06, 50 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 21 rounds (42.0%), Down in 29. The average round saw the Up share move across a 66¢ range, with the lead changing hands 5.16 times per round on average.
50
Rounds recorded
42.0%
Up win rate
21 up / 29 down
66¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
96¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1783301100.csv swung 96¢, flipped leader 2 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1783301101 | 01:25:01 | 0.54 | 0.47 | 4.98 |
| 1783301132 | 01:25:31 | 0.31 | 0.71 | 4.47 |
| 1783301161 | 01:26:01 | 0.35 | 0.65 | 3.98 |
| 1783301191 | 01:26:30 | 0.19 | 0.82 | 3.49 |
| 1783301220 | 01:27:00 | 0.09 | 0.92 | 3.00 |
| 1783301249 | 01:27:29 | 0.06 | 0.95 | 2.51 |
| 1783301278 | 01:27:58 | 0.15 | 0.86 | 2.03 |
| 1783301307 | 01:28:26 | 0.17 | 0.84 | 1.55 |
| 1783301336 | 01:28:55 | 0.29 | 0.72 | 1.07 |
| 1783301365 | 01:29:24 | 0.81 | 0.20 | 0.59 |
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