Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data2026-07-07

On 2026-07-07, 287 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 137 rounds (47.7%), Down in 150. The average round saw the Up share move across a 64¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.53 times per round on average.

287
Rounds recorded
47.7%
Up win rate
137 up / 150 down
64¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
100¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing

Up win rate by hour (UTC)

Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.

00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00

Most volatile round of the day

btc-updown-5m-1783439400.csv swung 100¢, flipped leader 4 times and resolved DOWN. Ten sampled ticks:

timestamptime (UTC)up_pricedown_priceremaining_min
178343940115:50:010.430.584.98
178343943215:50:320.480.534.47
178343946115:51:010.520.503.98
178343949015:51:300.640.383.49
178343952015:51:590.650.363.00
178343954915:52:290.780.232.51
178343957815:52:580.870.142.03
178343960715:53:270.940.071.54
178343963715:53:560.980.031.06
178343966615:54:250.990.030.57
2026-07-06All days2026-07-08
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