Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-07-08
On 2026-07-08, 73 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 36 rounds (49.3%), Down in 37. The average round saw the Up share move across a 65¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.9 times per round on average.
73
Rounds recorded
49.3%
Up win rate
36 up / 37 down
65¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
97¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1783486800.csv swung 97¢, flipped leader 10 times and resolved DOWN. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1783486801 | 05:00:00 | 0.49 | 0.52 | 4.99 |
| 1783486832 | 05:00:31 | 0.49 | 0.52 | 4.47 |
| 1783486861 | 05:01:00 | 0.62 | 0.39 | 3.98 |
| 1783486890 | 05:01:30 | 0.40 | 0.61 | 3.49 |
| 1783486920 | 05:01:59 | 0.29 | 0.72 | 3.01 |
| 1783486949 | 05:02:29 | 0.10 | 0.91 | 2.51 |
| 1783486978 | 05:02:58 | 0.16 | 0.85 | 2.03 |
| 1783487008 | 05:03:28 | 0.39 | 0.66 | 1.53 |
| 1783487037 | 05:03:56 | 0.69 | 0.28 | 1.05 |
| 1783487066 | 05:04:25 | 0.59 | 0.42 | 0.57 |
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