Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-07-11
On 2026-07-11, 288 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 153 rounds (53.1%), Down in 135. The average round saw the Up share move across a 64¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.98 times per round on average.
288
Rounds recorded
53.1%
Up win rate
153 up / 135 down
64¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
99¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1783743300.csv swung 99¢, flipped leader 4 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1783743300 | 04:15:00 | 0.51 | 0.50 | 4.99 |
| 1783743331 | 04:15:30 | 0.65 | 0.36 | 4.49 |
| 1783743360 | 04:15:59 | 0.76 | 0.25 | 4.01 |
| 1783743389 | 04:16:28 | 0.59 | 0.42 | 3.52 |
| 1783743418 | 04:16:57 | 0.27 | 0.74 | 3.04 |
| 1783743449 | 04:17:28 | 0.11 | 0.90 | 2.52 |
| 1783743478 | 04:17:57 | 0.09 | 0.92 | 2.04 |
| 1783743507 | 04:18:26 | 0.03 | 0.98 | 1.56 |
| 1783743536 | 04:18:55 | 0.05 | 0.96 | 1.07 |
| 1783743566 | 04:19:26 | 0.02 | 0.99 | 0.57 |
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