Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-07-12
On 2026-07-12, 283 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 143 rounds (50.5%), Down in 140. The average round saw the Up share move across a 64¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.22 times per round on average.
283
Rounds recorded
50.5%
Up win rate
143 up / 140 down
64¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
98¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1783862100.csv swung 98¢, flipped leader 1 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1783862101 | 13:15:01 | 0.47 | 0.54 | 4.98 |
| 1783862133 | 13:15:32 | 0.37 | 0.64 | 4.45 |
| 1783862162 | 13:16:01 | 0.23 | 0.78 | 3.97 |
| 1783862191 | 13:16:30 | 0.19 | 0.82 | 3.49 |
| 1783862220 | 13:16:59 | 0.12 | 0.89 | 3.01 |
| 1783862249 | 13:17:28 | 0.06 | 0.95 | 2.52 |
| 1783862278 | 13:17:57 | 0.05 | 0.96 | 2.04 |
| 1783862307 | 13:18:26 | 0.07 | 0.94 | 1.56 |
| 1783862335 | 13:18:55 | 0.03 | 0.98 | 1.08 |
| 1783862365 | 13:19:24 | 0.02 | 0.99 | 0.58 |
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