Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-07-14
On 2026-07-14, 287 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 152 rounds (53.0%), Down in 135. The average round saw the Up share move across a 66¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.97 times per round on average.
287
Rounds recorded
53.0%
Up win rate
152 up / 135 down
66¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
99¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1784028000.csv swung 99¢, flipped leader 5 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1784028001 | 11:20:00 | 0.49 | 0.52 | 4.99 |
| 1784028031 | 11:20:31 | 0.57 | 0.44 | 4.48 |
| 1784028061 | 11:21:00 | 0.68 | 0.33 | 3.99 |
| 1784028090 | 11:21:29 | 0.45 | 0.61 | 3.50 |
| 1784028119 | 11:21:58 | 0.23 | 0.78 | 3.02 |
| 1784028148 | 11:22:27 | 0.12 | 0.89 | 2.53 |
| 1784028177 | 11:22:56 | 0.08 | 0.93 | 2.05 |
| 1784028206 | 11:23:26 | 0.04 | 0.97 | 1.57 |
| 1784028235 | 11:23:55 | 0.06 | 0.95 | 1.08 |
| 1784028264 | 11:24:24 | 0.03 | 0.98 | 0.60 |
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