Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-07-15
On 2026-07-15, 287 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 139 rounds (48.4%), Down in 148. The average round saw the Up share move across a 65¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.96 times per round on average.
287
Rounds recorded
48.4%
Up win rate
139 up / 148 down
65¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
99¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1784137500.csv swung 99¢, flipped leader 4 times and resolved DOWN. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1784137502 | 17:45:01 | 0.50 | 0.51 | 4.97 |
| 1784137532 | 17:45:32 | 0.52 | 0.49 | 4.46 |
| 1784137562 | 17:46:01 | 0.70 | 0.31 | 3.97 |
| 1784137592 | 17:46:31 | 0.96 | 0.05 | 3.47 |
| 1784137621 | 17:47:01 | 0.97 | 0.04 | 2.98 |
| 1784137651 | 17:47:30 | 0.99 | 0.02 | 2.49 |
| 1784137680 | 17:48:00 | 1.00 | 0.01 | 1.99 |
| 1784137710 | 17:48:29 | 0.45 | 0.56 | 1.50 |
| 1784137739 | 17:48:59 | 0.28 | 0.73 | 1.02 |
| 1784137769 | 17:49:28 | 0.22 | 0.79 | 0.52 |
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