Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-07-15
On 2026-07-15, 71 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 30 rounds (42.3%), Down in 41. The average round saw the Up share move across a 69¢ range, with the lead changing hands 5.37 times per round on average.
71
Rounds recorded
42.3%
Up win rate
30 up / 41 down
69¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
97¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1784073900.csv swung 97¢, flipped leader 12 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1784073902 | 00:05:01 | 0.51 | 0.50 | 4.97 |
| 1784073933 | 00:05:32 | 0.43 | 0.58 | 4.45 |
| 1784073962 | 00:06:02 | 0.41 | 0.60 | 3.96 |
| 1784073992 | 00:06:31 | 0.43 | 0.58 | 3.47 |
| 1784074022 | 00:07:01 | 0.46 | 0.55 | 2.97 |
| 1784074051 | 00:07:31 | 0.54 | 0.47 | 2.48 |
| 1784074080 | 00:08:00 | 0.68 | 0.34 | 1.99 |
| 1784074109 | 00:08:29 | 0.67 | 0.36 | 1.51 |
| 1784074138 | 00:08:58 | 0.24 | 0.77 | 1.03 |
| 1784074168 | 00:09:28 | 0.03 | 0.98 | 0.53 |
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