Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-07-16
On 2026-07-16, 285 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 140 rounds (49.1%), Down in 145. The average round saw the Up share move across a 65¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.89 times per round on average.
285
Rounds recorded
49.1%
Up win rate
140 up / 145 down
65¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
98¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1784178900.csv swung 98¢, flipped leader 5 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1784178901 | 05:15:00 | 0.46 | 0.56 | 4.99 |
| 1784178932 | 05:15:32 | 0.74 | 0.27 | 4.46 |
| 1784178961 | 05:16:01 | 0.76 | 0.27 | 3.98 |
| 1784178990 | 05:16:30 | 0.71 | 0.30 | 3.49 |
| 1784179019 | 05:16:59 | 0.77 | 0.24 | 3.01 |
| 1784179048 | 05:17:28 | 0.73 | 0.28 | 2.53 |
| 1784179077 | 05:17:56 | 0.74 | 0.27 | 2.05 |
| 1784179106 | 05:18:25 | 0.81 | 0.20 | 1.57 |
| 1784179135 | 05:18:54 | 0.75 | 0.26 | 1.09 |
| 1784179164 | 05:19:23 | 0.30 | 0.71 | 0.60 |
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