Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-07-16
On 2026-07-16, 25 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 13 rounds (52.0%), Down in 12. The average round saw the Up share move across a 67¢ range, with the lead changing hands 6.2 times per round on average.
25
Rounds recorded
52.0%
Up win rate
13 up / 12 down
67¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
96¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1784161800.csv swung 96¢, flipped leader 10 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1784161801 | 00:30:01 | 0.64 | 0.36 | 4.98 |
| 1784161833 | 00:30:32 | 0.64 | 0.37 | 4.46 |
| 1784161862 | 00:31:01 | 0.72 | 0.29 | 3.97 |
| 1784161891 | 00:31:30 | 0.72 | 0.29 | 3.49 |
| 1784161920 | 00:31:59 | 0.74 | 0.27 | 3.00 |
| 1784161949 | 00:32:28 | 0.63 | 0.38 | 2.52 |
| 1784161978 | 00:32:57 | 0.43 | 0.60 | 2.03 |
| 1784162007 | 00:33:27 | 0.48 | 0.53 | 1.55 |
| 1784162036 | 00:33:56 | 0.26 | 0.75 | 1.06 |
| 1784162066 | 00:34:25 | 0.21 | 0.80 | 0.57 |
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