Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data2026-08-03

On 2026-08-03, 276 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 129 rounds (46.7%), Down in 147. The average round saw the Up share move across a 64¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.85 times per round on average.

276
Rounds recorded
46.7%
Up win rate
129 up / 147 down
64¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
99¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing

Up win rate by hour (UTC)

Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.

00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00

Most volatile round of the day

btc-updown-5m-1785741000.csv swung 99¢, flipped leader 2 times and resolved DOWN. Ten sampled ticks:

timestamptime (UTC)up_pricedown_priceremaining_min
178574100207:10:010.480.534.97
178574103407:10:340.730.284.43
178574106407:11:030.820.203.94
178574109307:11:320.860.153.46
178574112207:12:010.900.122.97
178574115107:12:310.900.112.48
178574118007:13:000.900.112.00
178574120907:13:290.800.211.51
178574123807:13:580.940.071.03
178574126807:14:270.970.040.54
2026-08-02All days2026-08-04
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