Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-08-04
On 2026-08-04, 280 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 137 rounds (48.9%), Down in 143. The average round saw the Up share move across a 64¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.86 times per round on average.
280
Rounds recorded
48.9%
Up win rate
137 up / 143 down
64¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
99¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1785864000.csv swung 99¢, flipped leader 4 times and resolved DOWN. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1785864001 | 17:20:00 | 0.50 | 0.51 | 4.98 |
| 1785864035 | 17:20:34 | 0.60 | 0.41 | 4.42 |
| 1785864065 | 17:21:04 | 0.73 | 0.28 | 3.92 |
| 1785864094 | 17:21:34 | 0.74 | 0.27 | 3.43 |
| 1785864124 | 17:22:03 | 0.88 | 0.13 | 2.94 |
| 1785864154 | 17:22:34 | 0.91 | 0.10 | 2.43 |
| 1785864184 | 17:23:03 | 0.94 | 0.07 | 1.93 |
| 1785864213 | 17:23:33 | 0.97 | 0.04 | 1.44 |
| 1785864243 | 17:24:02 | 1.00 | 0.01 | 0.96 |
| 1785864272 | 17:24:31 | 0.40 | 0.63 | 0.47 |
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