Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-08-04
On 2026-08-04, 65 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 31 rounds (47.7%), Down in 34. The average round saw the Up share move across a 65¢ range, with the lead changing hands 5.8 times per round on average.
65
Rounds recorded
47.7%
Up win rate
31 up / 34 down
65¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
94¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1785806100.csv swung 94¢, flipped leader 9 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1785806101 | 01:15:00 | 0.49 | 0.52 | 4.99 |
| 1785806133 | 01:15:32 | 0.64 | 0.38 | 4.46 |
| 1785806162 | 01:16:02 | 0.51 | 0.50 | 3.96 |
| 1785806191 | 01:16:31 | 0.30 | 0.71 | 3.48 |
| 1785806221 | 01:17:00 | 0.12 | 0.89 | 2.99 |
| 1785806250 | 01:17:30 | 0.08 | 0.93 | 2.50 |
| 1785806280 | 01:17:59 | 0.10 | 0.91 | 2.01 |
| 1785806309 | 01:18:29 | 0.50 | 0.51 | 1.51 |
| 1785806338 | 01:18:58 | 0.81 | 0.20 | 1.03 |
| 1785806368 | 01:19:28 | 0.94 | 0.08 | 0.53 |
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