Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-08-11
On 2026-08-11, 283 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 138 rounds (48.8%), Down in 145. The average round saw the Up share move across a 65¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.22 times per round on average.
283
Rounds recorded
48.8%
Up win rate
138 up / 145 down
65¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
99¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1786455900.csv swung 99¢, flipped leader 7 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1786455902 | 13:45:01 | 0.42 | 0.59 | 4.97 |
| 1786455933 | 13:45:32 | 0.66 | 0.35 | 4.46 |
| 1786455962 | 13:46:01 | 0.40 | 0.65 | 3.97 |
| 1786455991 | 13:46:30 | 0.46 | 0.55 | 3.49 |
| 1786456019 | 13:46:58 | 0.47 | 0.54 | 3.02 |
| 1786456047 | 13:47:27 | 0.80 | 0.21 | 2.55 |
| 1786456076 | 13:47:55 | 0.39 | 0.62 | 2.07 |
| 1786456105 | 13:48:24 | 0.14 | 0.87 | 1.58 |
| 1786456133 | 13:48:53 | 0.11 | 0.90 | 1.11 |
| 1786456163 | 13:49:22 | 0.15 | 0.86 | 0.62 |
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