Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-08-12
On 2026-08-12, 285 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 153 rounds (53.7%), Down in 132. The average round saw the Up share move across a 65¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.24 times per round on average.
285
Rounds recorded
53.7%
Up win rate
153 up / 132 down
65¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
98¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1786500600.csv swung 98¢, flipped leader 4 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1786500601 | 02:10:01 | 0.62 | 0.40 | 4.98 |
| 1786500633 | 02:10:32 | 0.43 | 0.58 | 4.46 |
| 1786500663 | 02:11:02 | 0.40 | 0.61 | 3.96 |
| 1786500692 | 02:11:32 | 0.26 | 0.75 | 3.46 |
| 1786500722 | 02:12:01 | 0.26 | 0.75 | 2.97 |
| 1786500751 | 02:12:31 | 0.35 | 0.66 | 2.48 |
| 1786500781 | 02:13:00 | 0.29 | 0.72 | 1.99 |
| 1786500810 | 02:13:30 | 0.06 | 0.95 | 1.50 |
| 1786500839 | 02:13:59 | 0.03 | 0.98 | 1.01 |
| 1786500869 | 02:14:28 | 0.92 | 0.09 | 0.52 |
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