Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-08-15
On 2026-08-15, 287 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 147 rounds (51.2%), Down in 140. The average round saw the Up share move across a 60¢ range, with the lead changing hands 3.42 times per round on average.
287
Rounds recorded
51.2%
Up win rate
147 up / 140 down
60¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
100¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1786756200.csv swung 100¢, flipped leader 9 times and resolved DOWN. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1786756201 | 01:10:01 | 0.55 | 0.46 | 4.98 |
| 1786756232 | 01:10:32 | 0.30 | 0.70 | 4.46 |
| 1786756262 | 01:11:01 | 0.44 | 0.57 | 3.97 |
| 1786756291 | 01:11:30 | 0.54 | 0.47 | 3.49 |
| 1786756320 | 01:11:59 | 0.55 | 0.46 | 3.01 |
| 1786756349 | 01:12:28 | 0.99 | 0.02 | 2.52 |
| 1786756378 | 01:12:57 | 0.97 | 0.04 | 2.04 |
| 1786756407 | 01:13:27 | 0.99 | 0.02 | 1.55 |
| 1786756436 | 01:13:56 | 0.20 | 0.81 | 1.06 |
| 1786756465 | 01:14:25 | 0.06 | 0.95 | 0.58 |
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