Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-08-16
On 2026-08-16, 287 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 152 rounds (53.0%), Down in 135. The average round saw the Up share move across a 61¢ range, with the lead changing hands 3.34 times per round on average.
287
Rounds recorded
53.0%
Up win rate
152 up / 135 down
61¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
99¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1786859700.csv swung 99¢, flipped leader 3 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1786859701 | 05:55:01 | 0.37 | 0.65 | 4.98 |
| 1786859732 | 05:55:32 | 0.37 | 0.64 | 4.47 |
| 1786859761 | 05:56:01 | 0.45 | 0.54 | 3.98 |
| 1786859791 | 05:56:30 | 0.71 | 0.30 | 3.49 |
| 1786859820 | 05:57:00 | 0.70 | 0.31 | 2.99 |
| 1786859850 | 05:57:29 | 0.82 | 0.19 | 2.50 |
| 1786859879 | 05:57:58 | 0.81 | 0.20 | 2.02 |
| 1786859908 | 05:58:27 | 0.11 | 0.90 | 1.54 |
| 1786859937 | 05:58:56 | 0.02 | 0.99 | 1.06 |
| 1786859965 | 05:59:25 | 0.97 | 0.04 | 0.58 |
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