Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-09-28
On 2026-09-28, 286 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 133 rounds (46.5%), Down in 153. The average round saw the Up share move across a 64¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.77 times per round on average.
286
Rounds recorded
46.5%
Up win rate
133 up / 153 down
64¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
99¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1790626800.csv swung 99¢, flipped leader 6 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1790626802 | 20:20:01 | 0.68 | 0.33 | 4.97 |
| 1790626832 | 20:20:32 | 0.73 | 0.28 | 4.46 |
| 1790626861 | 20:21:01 | 0.70 | 0.31 | 3.98 |
| 1790626890 | 20:21:29 | 0.74 | 0.27 | 3.50 |
| 1790626918 | 20:21:58 | 0.76 | 0.25 | 3.03 |
| 1790626946 | 20:22:26 | 0.73 | 0.28 | 2.56 |
| 1790626975 | 20:22:54 | 0.76 | 0.25 | 2.09 |
| 1790627003 | 20:23:22 | 0.60 | 0.41 | 1.62 |
| 1790627032 | 20:23:51 | 0.12 | 0.86 | 1.14 |
| 1790627060 | 20:24:20 | 0.01 | 1.00 | 0.66 |
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