Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-09-29

On 2026-09-29, 285 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 139 rounds (48.8%), Down in 146. The average round saw the Up share move across a 63¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.28 times per round on average.

285
Rounds recorded
48.8%
Up win rate
139 up / 146 down
63¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
99¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing

Up win rate by hour (UTC)

Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.

00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00

Most volatile round of the day

btc-updown-5m-1790650800.csv swung 99¢, flipped leader 9 times and resolved DOWN. Ten sampled ticks:

timestamptime (UTC)up_pricedown_priceremaining_min
179065080203:00:010.510.484.97
179065083403:00:340.460.554.43
179065086403:01:040.900.113.93
179065089503:01:350.720.293.41
179065092503:02:040.720.292.92
179065095403:02:330.630.382.44
179065098303:03:030.760.251.95
179065101203:03:320.990.021.46
179065104103:04:011.000.010.98
179065107103:04:300.720.340.49
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