Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-09-30
On 2026-09-30, 130 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 65 rounds (50.0%), Down in 65. The average round saw the Up share move across a 63¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.53 times per round on average.
130
Rounds recorded
50.0%
Up win rate
65 up / 65 down
63¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
99¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1790747700.csv swung 99¢, flipped leader 1 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1790747701 | 05:55:00 | 0.46 | 0.56 | 4.99 |
| 1790747731 | 05:55:31 | 0.35 | 0.66 | 4.48 |
| 1790747760 | 05:56:00 | 0.25 | 0.76 | 4.00 |
| 1790747789 | 05:56:29 | 0.29 | 0.72 | 3.51 |
| 1790747818 | 05:56:58 | 0.24 | 0.77 | 3.03 |
| 1790747847 | 05:57:27 | 0.20 | 0.82 | 2.55 |
| 1790747876 | 05:57:56 | 0.03 | 0.98 | 2.06 |
| 1790747906 | 05:58:25 | 0.02 | 0.99 | 1.57 |
| 1790747934 | 05:58:54 | 0.88 | 0.10 | 1.09 |
| 1790747963 | 05:59:23 | 1.00 | 0.01 | 0.61 |
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