Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-10-04
On 2026-10-04, 287 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 156 rounds (54.4%), Down in 131. The average round saw the Up share move across a 61¢ range, with the lead changing hands 2.92 times per round on average.
287
Rounds recorded
54.4%
Up win rate
156 up / 131 down
61¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
99¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1791081900.csv swung 99¢, flipped leader 1 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1791081901 | 02:45:01 | 0.47 | 0.54 | 4.98 |
| 1791081933 | 02:45:33 | 0.49 | 0.52 | 4.45 |
| 1791081962 | 02:46:02 | 0.39 | 0.62 | 3.96 |
| 1791081992 | 02:46:31 | 0.30 | 0.71 | 3.47 |
| 1791082021 | 02:47:00 | 0.20 | 0.81 | 2.99 |
| 1791082050 | 02:47:29 | 0.06 | 0.95 | 2.50 |
| 1791082079 | 02:47:59 | 0.04 | 0.97 | 2.01 |
| 1791082109 | 02:48:28 | 0.03 | 0.98 | 1.52 |
| 1791082138 | 02:48:58 | 0.85 | 0.16 | 1.03 |
| 1791082170 | 02:49:29 | 0.99 | 0.01 | 0.51 |
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