Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-10-03
On 2026-10-03, 287 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 160 rounds (55.7%), Down in 127. The average round saw the Up share move across a 58¢ range, with the lead changing hands 2.71 times per round on average.
287
Rounds recorded
55.7%
Up win rate
160 up / 127 down
58¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
99¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1790990100.csv swung 99¢, flipped leader 1 times and resolved DOWN. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1790990103 | 01:15:02 | 0.64 | 0.37 | 4.96 |
| 1790990138 | 01:15:38 | 0.87 | 0.14 | 4.36 |
| 1790990170 | 01:16:09 | 0.94 | 0.07 | 3.84 |
| 1790990199 | 01:16:38 | 0.96 | 0.05 | 3.35 |
| 1790990228 | 01:17:07 | 0.98 | 0.03 | 2.87 |
| 1790990257 | 01:17:36 | 0.99 | 0.02 | 2.39 |
| 1790990285 | 01:18:05 | 0.41 | 0.61 | 1.92 |
| 1790990313 | 01:18:33 | 0.16 | 0.85 | 1.44 |
| 1790990341 | 01:19:01 | 0.05 | 0.96 | 0.98 |
| 1790990373 | 01:19:32 | 0.01 | 1.00 | 0.45 |
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