Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-10-10
On 2026-10-10, 287 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 145 rounds (50.5%), Down in 142. The average round saw the Up share move across a 60¢ range, with the lead changing hands 2.69 times per round on average.
287
Rounds recorded
50.5%
Up win rate
145 up / 142 down
60¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
100¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1791666300.csv swung 100¢, flipped leader 5 times and resolved DOWN. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1791666301 | 21:05:01 | 0.75 | 0.26 | 4.98 |
| 1791666333 | 21:05:33 | 0.86 | 0.14 | 4.45 |
| 1791666363 | 21:06:02 | 0.89 | 0.12 | 3.96 |
| 1791666392 | 21:06:31 | 0.88 | 0.13 | 3.47 |
| 1791666420 | 21:07:00 | 0.97 | 0.04 | 3.00 |
| 1791666449 | 21:07:28 | 0.86 | 0.15 | 2.52 |
| 1791666478 | 21:07:57 | 0.94 | 0.06 | 2.04 |
| 1791666507 | 21:08:26 | 0.96 | 0.04 | 1.56 |
| 1791666535 | 21:08:55 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.08 |
| 1791666566 | 21:09:25 | 0.67 | 0.33 | 0.57 |
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