Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-10-11
On 2026-10-11, 156 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 81 rounds (51.9%), Down in 75. The average round saw the Up share move across a 59¢ range, with the lead changing hands 2.73 times per round on average.
156
Rounds recorded
51.9%
Up win rate
81 up / 75 down
59¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
100¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1791716700.csv swung 100¢, flipped leader 10 times and resolved DOWN. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1791716702 | 11:05:02 | 0.38 | 0.63 | 4.97 |
| 1791716733 | 11:05:32 | 0.40 | 0.61 | 4.46 |
| 1791716761 | 11:06:00 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 3.98 |
| 1791716790 | 11:06:29 | 0.50 | 0.51 | 3.50 |
| 1791716818 | 11:06:57 | 0.41 | 0.60 | 3.04 |
| 1791716847 | 11:07:26 | 0.53 | 0.48 | 2.56 |
| 1791716875 | 11:07:55 | 0.55 | 0.46 | 2.08 |
| 1791716904 | 11:08:23 | 0.86 | 0.15 | 1.61 |
| 1791716933 | 11:08:52 | 0.99 | 0.02 | 1.12 |
| 1791716962 | 11:09:22 | 0.07 | 0.94 | 0.63 |
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