Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-10-12
On 2026-10-12, 287 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 135 rounds (47.0%), Down in 152. The average round saw the Up share move across a 63¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.49 times per round on average.
287
Rounds recorded
47.0%
Up win rate
135 up / 152 down
63¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
100¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1791780300.csv swung 100¢, flipped leader 6 times and resolved DOWN. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1791780301 | 04:45:00 | 0.50 | 0.52 | 4.99 |
| 1791780333 | 04:45:32 | 0.27 | 0.75 | 4.45 |
| 1791780362 | 04:46:02 | 0.26 | 0.78 | 3.96 |
| 1791780391 | 04:46:31 | 0.52 | 0.49 | 3.48 |
| 1791780421 | 04:47:00 | 0.83 | 0.18 | 2.99 |
| 1791780450 | 04:47:29 | 0.78 | 0.23 | 2.50 |
| 1791780479 | 04:47:59 | 0.95 | 0.06 | 2.01 |
| 1791780509 | 04:48:28 | 0.99 | 0.02 | 1.52 |
| 1791780538 | 04:48:58 | 0.41 | 0.62 | 1.03 |
| 1791780568 | 04:49:28 | 0.01 | 1.00 | 0.53 |
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