Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-10-14

On 2026-10-14, 285 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 138 rounds (48.4%), Down in 147. The average round saw the Up share move across a 64¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.48 times per round on average.

285
Rounds recorded
48.4%
Up win rate
138 up / 147 down
64¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
99¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing

Up win rate by hour (UTC)

Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.

00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00

Most volatile round of the day

btc-updown-5m-1792008600.csv swung 99¢, flipped leader 8 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:

timestamptime (UTC)up_pricedown_priceremaining_min
179200860120:10:010.600.414.98
179200863320:10:320.410.604.46
179200866120:11:010.390.623.98
179200869020:11:300.320.693.50
179200871920:11:590.160.853.01
179200874920:12:280.100.912.52
179200877820:12:580.120.892.03
179200880920:13:280.020.991.52
179200883820:13:570.020.991.04
179200886720:14:270.500.510.55
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