Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-10-15
On 2026-10-15, 283 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 152 rounds (53.7%), Down in 131. The average round saw the Up share move across a 66¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.76 times per round on average.
283
Rounds recorded
53.7%
Up win rate
152 up / 131 down
66¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
100¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1792035600.csv swung 100¢, flipped leader 2 times and resolved DOWN. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1792035601 | 03:40:01 | 0.50 | 0.51 | 4.98 |
| 1792035634 | 03:40:34 | 0.59 | 0.42 | 4.43 |
| 1792035664 | 03:41:03 | 0.69 | 0.32 | 3.94 |
| 1792035693 | 03:41:33 | 0.76 | 0.25 | 3.45 |
| 1792035723 | 03:42:02 | 0.89 | 0.12 | 2.96 |
| 1792035751 | 03:42:31 | 0.97 | 0.04 | 2.48 |
| 1792035781 | 03:43:00 | 0.99 | 0.02 | 1.99 |
| 1792035810 | 03:43:29 | 0.79 | 0.20 | 1.50 |
| 1792035839 | 03:43:58 | 0.12 | 0.88 | 1.02 |
| 1792035868 | 03:44:28 | 0.03 | 0.97 | 0.53 |
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